A recent year-end poll by Nanos indicates that Canadians are looking for the Liberal government to address key economic issues in the upcoming year. According to the survey, jobs and the economy were identified as the top national concerns by just over 20% of respondents, surpassing issues related to relations with the United States and President Donald Trump, which were prioritized by only 10% of participants. Other significant concerns for Canadians included inflation, health care, and immigration.
Another Nanos poll, also released recently, revealed that consumer confidence is currently in a neutral position as the new year approaches. The survey, conducted over four weeks leading up to December 26 and involving over 1,000 participants, had a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.
Nik Nanos, the Chief Data Scientist, highlighted that the economy and U.S. relations were prominent topics for voters throughout 2025. While the focus on jobs was evident in the latest polling, Nanos emphasized that the uncertainties surrounding trade with the U.S. are contributing to concerns about Canada’s economic performance in 2026.
Consumer sentiment regarding personal finances is currently subdued, leading to a sense of apprehension as the new year begins. Nanos pointed out the possibility that this anxiety may prompt individuals to delay significant purchases, potentially impacting the economy in the coming months.
Prime Minister Mark Carney, who assumed power earlier this year, positioned himself as best suited to navigate challenges related to Trump and the economic disruptions he has caused. Despite the government gaining two additional seats from Conservative MPs crossing the floor by the end of 2025, the Liberal party remains one seat short of a majority. Should the minority government face a confidence vote defeat, it could trigger a federal election.
Nanos’ polling data shows the Liberals leading the Conservatives at 38.4% to 34.1% as the year concludes, with Carney maintaining a higher preferred prime minister status compared to Pierre Poilievre. The upcoming mandatory leadership review for Poilievre in January follows the Conservative party’s failure to secure victory in the April federal election.
Looking ahead, Nanos noted that Canadians are eager to see progress on long-standing issues such as housing affordability and grocery costs. However, there may be skepticism towards politicians making promises to address these challenges effectively. The role of the NDP, currently at an 11.2% voting intention share, could be pivotal in the next election, potentially influencing the balance between the Liberals and Conservatives.
As the new year unfolds, Canadians expecting action on major economic fronts like U.S. trade and affordability may become disillusioned if they feel the Liberals have not delivered on their 2025 campaign promises. This sets the stage for Poilievre to remind voters of prior commitments made by Carney as the electorate seeks tangible outcomes and proactive governance in 2026.